EcoMod2010
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Wednesday July 7th: | |
8:15-9:00 | Registration |
9:00-9:15 | Welcome and Opening Sessions (Room E3-101) Durmus ÖZDEMIR (Co-chair, EcoMod and Bilgi University) Halil GÜVEN (Rector, Bilgi University) Ali BAYAR (President, EcoMod) |
9:15-10:45 | Plenary Session: Financial Crisis and Global Financial Regulation Chair: Hasan ERSEL (Sabanci Universitesi) Yilmaz AKYUZ (UNCTAD - retired) Deepak NAYAR (Jawaharlal Nehru University) Mehmet YORUKOGLU (Vice Governor of the Central Bank of Turkey) |
10:45-11:00 | Refreshment Break |
11:00-12:30 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: | Developing countries (Room E3-107) Chair: Jean Francois BRUN Policies for Meeting Future Water Needs in Mexican Cities SADC EPAs with the EU: the Right or a Blight Way for Development IMF´s Programs and Public Revenue in Sub-Saharan African Economies - Which Role for Institutions? - An Econometric Analysis on Macro Panel Data |
Session B: |
Macroeconometric modeling (Room E3-103) A Empirical Assessment of the Feldstein and Horioka Literature Global Integration of Central and Eastern European Financial Markets – The Role of Economic Sentiments Occupational Pension Funds in Greece |
Session C: | Regional Modeling (Room E3-105) Chair: D´Artis KANCS Regional Disparities Under Different Types of Cohesion Policy Economic Activity of Korea by Region - Judged by Coincident Index of Economic Activity EU Cohesion Policy: Assessing the Impact of Ten-T Infrastructure Investment with a Combined Run of New Economic Geography and Transport Models
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Session D: | Monetary issues (Room E3-106) Chair: Søren HOVE RAVN Revitalizing Reserve Requirement in Banking Model: An Industrial Organization Approach Friedman Meets the Joneses: A Model of Essential Money with Consumption Externalities Has the Fed Reacted Asymmetrically to Stock Prices
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Session E: |
Finance (Room E3-201) Financial Intermediaries, Leverage Ratios, and Business Cycles Asset Pricing in the Presence of Background Risk Forecasting and Assessing Euro Area House Prices Through the Lens of Key Fundamentals |
Session F: |
Energy and environmental policy (Room E3-214) How Does Economic Theory Explain the Hubbert Peak Oil Model? Modelling Consumption-Based CO2-Emissions and Carbon Leakage with the Global Resource Accounting Model GRAM Modelling a Reduction of Greenhouse Gases emissions in the Catalan Economy: The NAMEA Approach |
12:30-14:00 | Lunch |
14:00-15:30 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Trade Issues (Room E3-107) Credit Constraints, Heterogeneity of Firms and International Trade: An Empirical Analysis of Exports Determinants for India Endogenous Liberalization and Within-Country Inequality The Impact of Non-Tariff Barriers on Export Strategies: Evidence from India |
Session B: |
Macroeconometric Modeling (Room E3-103) Chair: Francesco FELICI Yield Curve and Macroeconomic Dynamics: The Case of Turkey A Dynamic Institutional Analysis with a Macroeconomic Model Macroeconomic Modelling and Policy Implications: an Assessment for Italy Using ITEM and QUEST |
Session C: |
Public Finance (Room E3-105) Responses of the Polish Economy to Demand and Supply Shocks Under Alternative Fiscal Rules Market Power and Fiscal Policy in OECD Countries A Model to Simulate the Long-Term Dynamics of Public Debt |
Session D: |
General Equilibrium Modeling (Room E3-106) Government Debt and Macroeconomic Effects: Analysis with Real-Financial CGE Model Real Financial Models in Argentina Real Convergence and Its Illusions |
Session E: |
Finance (Room E3-201) Testing Linearity in Term Structures Structured Portfolio Analysis Under SharpeOmega Ratio Macroeconomic, Sector Specific and Bank Specific Determinants of Net Interest Rate Margin: What Matters More for an Emerging Market Economy? |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) Exogenous Income Determination in a SAM Model: the Catalan Economy towards the "20-20-20 European Directive" Energy Efficiency Trends and Policies: Cross-Country Comparison in Europe 20% by 2020 - Energy Efficiency in Germany |
15:30-16:00 | Refreshment Break |
16:00-18:00 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Global Economic Crisis (Room E3-107) Beyond the crisis: Prospects for transition economies Forecasting Medium-Term Distributional Effects of the Economic Crisis: A CGE-Microsimulation Approach Measuring the Impacts of Recent Global Crisis on IRAN's Non-Oil Export Economy (28 Subsectors) Is Globalisation Increasing the Depth of Growth Recession? |
Session B: |
Macroeconometric Modeling (Room E3-103) The Dynamics of Inflation: A Study of a Large Number of Countries Propagation of Inflationary Shocks Time-Varying Coefficient Methods to Measure Inflation Persistence The Effects of Inflation on General Government Accounts |
Session C: |
Public Finance (Room E3-105) The Impact of Government Expenditure on Economic Growth and Development in Developing Countries: Nigeria as a Case Study Fiscal Sustainability in Oil Producing Countries The Response of Private Consumption to Different Public Spending Categories:VAR Evidence from UK Public Debt Sustainability, Exchange Rates and Country-Specific Saving Rates |
Session D: |
General Equilibrium Modeling (Room E3-106) Scaling Up Infrastructure Spending in the Philippines: A CGE Top-Down Bottom-Up Microsimulation Approach The Role of Water Sector in Iranian Economy: A CGE Modeling Approach Impact of Community-based Tourism in a Village Economy in Thailand: An analysis with VCGE model An ICT Economy Wide Interaction Social Accounting Matrix for Egypt |
Session E: |
Finance (Room E3-201) Testing Stock Market Convergence: A Non-linear Factor Approach Modeling Stock Returns in the South African Stock Exchange: a Nonlinear Approach Non Linearities and Chaos in Stock Price Behavior of Greek oil Sector; The Case of Hellenic Petroleum S.A. |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) The Analysis of the Impact of Oil Prices Shock on the Poor Relied on the Existing Distribution of Income Pattern Oil, Development, and Corruption: Towards an Applied General Equilibrium Model to Investigate Oil Revenue Spending in Chad Business Cycles and Oil Rich Economies – Hodrick Prescott Filtering Of Oil Revenues for Macroeconomic Modelling in Nigeria |
18:00-20:00 | Welcome Reception |
Thursday July 8th | |
9:00-10:30 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Forecasting and Projection Methods (Room E3-107) A Dynamic Panel Analysis of Public Transport Demand Euro Area GDP Forecast Using Large Survey Dataset - A Random Forest Approach Agent-Based Modeling of Economic Systems: The EURACE Project Experience |
Session B: |
Macroeconometric Modeling (Room E3-103) Distortionary Tax Instruments and Implementable Monetary Policy Does "The" Fiscal Multiplier Exist? Discretionary Fiscal Policy: Pros and Cons from a Swiss Perspective |
Session C: |
Miscellaneous (Room E3-105) 'The Old World Wine' and Its Place in the Anatolian Economy Understanding Homeland Security: Theory and UK Evidence Accounting for the Heterogeneity in Inter-generational Links in Educational Attainment Across Europe Cem BASLEVENT, Hasan KIRMANOGLU |
Session D: |
Monetary Issues (Room E3-106) Fear of Floating and Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Inflation in Egypt Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty in the Euro Area Inflation Uncertainty: What Can Behavioural Economics Teach Us? |
Session E: |
Finance (Room E3-201) A Reassessment of Competition in the Credit Card Market by Introducing Liquidity Cost Measures: Evidence from an Emerging Economy Gross and Net Loan Flows Under Search and Matching Frictions in Labour and Credit Markets Predicting Discontinuity in the Decision to Allocate Funds to Credit Memes with a Fokker-Planck Equation Based Model |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) Bioenergy Production in Finland and its Effects on Regional Growth and Employment Quantitative Assessment of Biofuel Promotion Policy in India: A Dynamic CGE Approach Economic and Distributional Impact of Bio-Fuels in Mali |
10:30-11:00 | Refreshment Break |
11:00-12:30 |
Plenary Session: International Trade Robert KOOPMAN (Chief Economist and Director, Office of Economics United States International Trade Commission - USITC) |
12:30-14:00 | Lunch |
14:00-15:30 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Impact and Scenario Analysis (Room E3-107) The Growing Income Inequality in China: Evidence, Causes, and Policy Choices Determinants of Incoming Cross-Border M&A: Evidence from European Transition Economies A New Avenue to Understand the Nutritional Health of the Youths in Guinea |
Session B: |
Macroeconometric Modeling (Room E3-103) Why are Some Prices Stickier than Others? Firm-data Evidence on Price Adjustment Lags Food Price Pass-Through in the Euro Area: the Role of Asymmetries and Non-Linearities Technology, Utilization and Inflation: Re-assessing the New Keynesian Fundament |
Session C: |
Growth (Room E3-105) Government Size Threshold and Economic Growth in Iran Foreign Aid and Its Effect on Per-Capita Income (Growth) in Recipient Countries: Pitfalls and Findings from a Time Series Perspective Romes without Empires: Urban Concentration, Political Competition, and Economic Growth How Can Public Spending Help You Grow? An Empirical Analysis for Developing Countries |
Session D: |
Tax Policy (Room E3-106) Modelling the Potential Economic Effects of Tax Policy Reform in Nigeria: Simulation Analysis Using the Computable General Equilibrium Analysis ZEW TaxCoMM – A Corporate Tax Microsimulation Model. Concept and Application to the 2008 German Corporate Tax Reform The Strategic Implications of Setting Border Tax Adjustments |
Session E: |
Finance (Room E3-201) Effects of Tax Policy Announcements in the Athens Stock Exchange Fiscal Policy, Housing and Stock Prices What Drives Returns to Euro Area Housing? |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) An Empirical Assessment of the Effectiveness of Oil Taxes Forecasting the Conditional Volatility of Spot and Futures Oil Prices with Structural Breaks and Long Memory Models Effects of Weekly Inventory Data Releases on Crude Oil Spot Prices |
15:30-16:00 | Refreshment Break |
16:00-18:00 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Global Economic Crisis (Room E3-107) Have Foreign Banks Contributed to the Spread of the Global Financial Crisis to Saudi Arabia? The Effect of the Global Financial Crisis on Migrant Workers among MENA Countries The Role of Fiscal Stimulus and Monetary Easing in Indonesian Economy during Global Financial Crisis: Financial Computable General Equilibrium Approach |
Session B: |
Macroeconometric Modeling (Room E3-103) Real Wages and the Business Cycle: Accounting for Worker and Firm Heterogeneity MEMBER: Multi-Country Euro Area Model with Boundedly Estimated Rationality Modelling the Impact of Postponed Implementation of EU Structural Funds |
Session C: |
Miscellaneous (Room E3-105) Asymmetries in Wealth Effect: the UK Households Evidence A Non-Balanced Survey-Based Indicator to Track Industrial Production Once Poor, Always Poor? Do Initial Conditions Matter? Evidence from the ECHP |
Session D: |
General Equilibrium Modeling (Room E3-106) Turkey, the EU and the 21st Century Economic Scenarios; a Multi Region Dynamic CGE Model Analysis SAM-Based Accounting Modeling and Analysis- Sudan 2000 Equilibrium Prices Model for Sectors of Azerbaijan Economy Based on Input-Output Tables Analysis of the Millennium Development Goals for Egypt - Using an Extended Economy Wide Simulation Model |
Session E: |
Labor Market Issues (Room E3-201) Characteristics of the New Immigrants: A Recent Analysis of Employment and Educational Mismatch Estimating the Impact of Tunisian Training Programs on Wage, Using a Simultaneous Equations Model with Self-Selectivity Asymmetries in the Pay-Penalty from Skill Mismatches in Europe: How Different is the Effect on High Educated Workers |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) Integrating an Input-Output-Model with an Actor-Orientated, Technology Based Bottom-Up Approach to Support Clean Air Policy in Germany Linking Dynamic GTAP-E with Technology Bundle Model and TIMES-FRI Model Resource Competition and Climate Change |
Friday July 9th | |
9:00-10:30 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Trade Issues (Room E3-107) Tariffs and Imports Mis-invoicing Under Oligopoly Analysing the Sensitivity of Simulated Pattern of Trade to Functional Form Choices Will Trade Development Reduce the Gap Between Chinese Regions ? Some Evidence Based on a Regional Model |
Session B: |
Agriculture Issues (Room E3-103) Economy-Wide Impact of Forest Plantation Development in Laos Using a Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach Policy Impact on Farm Economy, Ecology and Land Use: an Ecological-Economic Modelling Approach Impact of Common Agricultural Policy Reform on the Czech Economy – a General Equilibrium Approach |
Session C: |
Growth (Room E3-105) Curse or Blessing? Natural Resources and Human Development Linking Public Investment Programs and Macroeconomic Models: Methodology and Application to Aid Requirements Public and Private Inputs in Aggregate Production and Growth: A Cross-country Efficiency Approach |
Session D: |
Regional Modeling (Room E3-106) Relative House Price Dynamics Across Euro Area and US Cities: Convergence or Divergence? What Effect Exerts Sequencing of International Liberalization on Regional Financial Stability? Agglomeration, Knowledge Spillovers, and Innovation: An Empirical Study of Finnish and Swedish Firms What Happens to Interregional Redistribution Upon Fiscal Decentralisation Reforms? Evidence from the Italian NHS |
Session E: |
Labor Market Issues (Room E3-201) Flexible Work Arrangements (FWAs) in Greece Labor Market and Income Effects of a Legal Minimum Wage in Germany Can a Gift-Exchange Model Explain a Link Between Flexible Working Arrangements and Organizational Performance? |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) Border Tax Adjustments to Negate the Economic Impact of an Electricity Generation Tax Potential Energy Sources in Electricity Generation: The Case of Turkey Biofuel Sustainability and Supply Scenarios: A Global CGE Analysis |
10:30-11:00 | Refreshment Break |
11:00-12:30 |
Plenary Session: Energy and Climate Change Economics of Climate Change Adaptation: Uncertainty and Long-Run Country Models Russia's Natural Gas Export Potential up to 2050 |
12:30-14:00 | Lunch |
14:00-16:00 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Trade Issues (Room E3-107) Modeling the Interaction Between Industries and Services Sectors´ Agglomeration in the European Union Trends of Chinese-Spanish Commercial Relationships: a Future Outlook External Imbalances in a Monetary Union. Does the Lawson Doctrine Apply to Europe? |
Session B: |
Agricultural Issues (Room E3-103) The Effect of a Government-Subsidized Staple Food Chain on Retail Food Prices: The Case of MERCAL in Venezuela Sustainable Irrigated Agriculture in Texas through Conservation of Ogallala Aquifer Estimating the Impacts of Eliminating Cost-reducing and Capacity-enhancing Fisheries Subsidies on the Small Island Economy of the Azores |
Session C: |
Immigration (Room E3-105) Problems and Prospects of Nepalese Students in UK: Brain Drain, Immigration or Global Network A Utility Function Based Approach Towards the Modeling of Migration in Village Equilibrium Models Migration and Tourism Flows to New Zealand |
Session D: |
Monetary Issues (Room E3-106) The Emergence and Survival of Inflation Expectations Interest Rate Pass-Through: Interactions, Asymmetries, and Heterogeneities Banking and Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Morocco Monetary Transmission of Elongated Shock to the Risk Premium |
Session E: |
Labor Market Issues (Room E3-201) Sources of Unemployment Fluctuations in the USA and in the Euro Area in the Last Decade Testing for Hysteresis in Unemployment in the Belgian Regions The Effect of Civilian Unemploment on Reenlistment Decision in Turkish Armed Forces The Wage Cost of Unemployment Duration: Evidences for the Brazilian Economy |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) Can Reserve Additions in Mature Crude Oil Provinces Attenuate Peak Oil The Green Paradox and the Choice of Capacity Modeling the Transition to Low-Carbon Economy in Poland General Equilibrium Analysis of Bio-Energy Options |
19:00 | Gala Dinner |
Saturday July 10th: | |
9:00-10:30 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Trade Issue (Room E3-107) Human Capital Formation and the Linkage between Trade and Poverty: The Cases of Costa Rica and Nicaragua Poverty Impacts of Trade Integration with the EU: Lessons for Ecuador Trade and Poverty in South Asia |
Session B: |
Agricultural Issues (Room E3-103) Impact of Trade Liberalization on Farm Profitability – Any Adverse Impact Leading to Farmers Loosing their Income in India? Comparative Advantage Analysis of the Crops Production in the Agricultural Farming Systems in Sudan Agricultural Credit Cooperatives of India |
Session C: |
Growth (Room E3-105) In Dubio, Pro CES: Technical Progress Specification and the Elasticity of Substitution Appropriate IPRs, Human Capital Composition and Economic Growth Concentration of Talent and Regional Growth: Empirical Evidence from Spanish Autonomous Communities On the Measurement of Technological Progress Across Countries |
Session D: |
General Equilibrium Modeling (Room E3-106) The Role of Two Interest Rates in the Intertemporal CA Model Public versus Private Education with Risky Human Capital Pension Reform with Variable Retirment Age |
Session E: |
Labor Market Issues (Room E3-201) Human Capital and Regional Wage Gaps Conservatism and Female Labour Force Participation in Turkey Race and Sex Discrimination in Hiring: Results of a Field Experiment |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) Costs of National Climate Ambitions and the Role of Technological Adaptations Prospects for Climate Policy After Copenhagen? A Welfare Analysis of Bottom-Up Approaches in Interdependent Economies A CGE Analysis of Climate Policy Options After Copenhagen: Bottom-up Approaches, Border Tax Adjustments, and Carbon Leakage |
10:30-11:00 | Refreshment Break |
11:00-12:30 | Parallel Sessions |
Session A: |
Trade Issues (Room E3-107) Determinants of Specialization and the Role of Trade Costs The Income Distributional Effect of Export Tax of Indonesian Palm Oil Sectors on Various Aspects of Indonesian Economy: Social Accounting Matrix Analysis Optimal Border Taxes in Developing Countries: On the Importance of a Large Informal Sector |
Session B: |
Macroeconometric modeling (Room E3-103) Modeling Trends, Cyclical Movements and Turning Points of the Chinese Economy Estimating Small Scale Macroeconometric Model for Nigeria: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) Approach A Macro-econometric Model for the Economy of Lesotho |
Session C: |
Monetary Issues (Room E3-105) Has Egypt's Monetary Policy Changed After the Float? Off-the-Record Target Zones: Theory with an Application to Hong Kong´s Currency Board Monetary Authorities and Exchange Rate Volatility: Turkey and Other Cases |
Session D: |
General Equilibrium Modeling (Room E3-106) Firms´ Entry, Monetary Policy and the International Business Cycle The Interaction of Formal and Informal Financial Sectors in Quasi-Emerging Market Economies Which Policy-Mix to Mitigate the Effects of the Financial Heterogeneity in a Monetary union? |
Session E: |
Tax Policy (Room E3-201) Should We Care About the Composition of Tax Based Stimulus Packages? A Simple "Public Debt-Deflation" Theory: Leeper revisited Indeterminacy, Underground Activities and Tax Evasion |
Session F: |
Energy and Environmental Policy (Room E3-214) Can Carbon Taxes Be Progressive? Environmental and Economic Effects of Carbon Tax Analysis of Economic and Environmental Impacts of CO2 Abatement in Japan Applying a CGE Model with Knowledge Investment |
12:30 – 13:15 | Closing Plenary Session: Spatial Econometrics Chair: Nebile KORUCU GUMUSOGLU Badi BALTAGI (Syracuse University) Closing Address Can ERBIL (EcoMod and Brandeis University) |
13:15 – 14:00 | Lunch |
19:30 | Boat Cruise and Dinner on the Bosphorus |